Abstracts of Volume 39, Number 2, May 2004

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Closed-End Fund Discounts and Expected Investment Performance

  Robert Ferguson and Dean Leistikow

 

 

Bank Mergers and Insider Nontrading

  Tom Madison, Greg Roth, and Andy Saporoschenko

 

 

The Pricing of Sequential Bank Loans

  Manoj Athavale and Robert O. Edmister

 

 

Specialists, Limit-Order Traders, and the Components of the Bid-Ask Spread

  Kee H. Chung, Bonnie F. Van Ness, and Robert A. Van Ness

 

 

To Trade or Not to Trade: The Effect of Broker Search and Discretionary Trading on Securities Market Performance

  Wei Zhang, Jinliang Li, and Chunchi Wu

 

 

Orange County Bankruptcy: Financial Contagion in the Municipal Bond and Bank Equity Markets

  John M. Halstead, Shantaram Hegde, and Linda Schmid Klein

 

 

Who Benefits from Deregulating the Separation of Banking Activities? Differential Effects on Commercial Bank, Investment Bank, and Thrift Stock Returns

  Kathy Czyrnik and Linda Schmid Klein

 

 


Closed-End Fund Discounts and Expected Investment Performance

  Robert Ferguson and Dean Leistikow

 

 

This paper provides empirical support for the theory that closed-end fund discounts reflect expected investment performance. Evidence is presented to explain how equity closed-end fund initial public offerings (IPOs) can sell at a premium when existing funds sell at a discount and why the initial IPO premiums decay after the IPO. Relative premium decay data are presented. Tests on (a) the relation between relative premium changes and investment performance following IPOs, (b) relative premium mean-reversion following management changes, and (c) net redemptions following closed-end fund open-endings for funds trading at pre-open-ending announcement discounts individually support and collectively strongly support the theory.

 

Keywords: closed-end fund discounts, expected investment performance

 

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Bank Mergers and Insider Nontrading

  Tom Madison, Greg Roth, and Andy Saporoschenko

 

 

Insiders with nonpublic information that their firms are acquisition targets can profit by purchasing their firms’ stock or by delaying planned sales of their firms’ stock. Under current securities laws, insiders who execute the former strategy expose themselves to civil and criminal liability, whereas insiders who execute the latter strategy do not. Using a sample of bank mergers, we find that target bank insiders significantly decrease both share purchases and share sales before merger announcements. These findings suggest that securities laws effectively deter some forms of illegal insider trading and that insiders exploit opportunities to profit legally from nonpublic information.

 

Keywords: insider trading, commercial banks, mergers

 

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The Pricing of Sequential Bank Loans

  Manoj Athavale and Robert O. Edmister

 

 

The theory of financial intermediation assigns banks a unique role in the resolution of information asymmetry. Banks, in general, obtain private information about the borrower and the project during the screening of loan applicants and during the monitoring of loan recipients. Incumbent banks, in particular, utilize information obtained while monitoring previous loan extensions to resolve information asymmetry when granting subsequent loans. We examine the rate on a sequence of loans to a borrower and find that the incumbent bank information advantage has finite magnitude and is quickly reflected in the pricing of the second loan. We also find that the lending relationship does not deteriorate to the detriment of the borrower. This research also provides further evidence supporting the hypothesis that an incumbent bank resolves information asymmetry during the monitoring of loan extensions.

 

Keywords: loan pricing, sequential loans, monitoring, relationship lending

 

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Specialists, Limit-Order Traders, and the Components of the Bid-Ask Spread

  Kee H. Chung, Bonnie F. Van Ness, and Robert A. Van Ness

 

 

This study compares the components of the bid-ask spread estimated from quotes that reflect the trading interest of specialists with those estimated from limit-order quotes and all available quotes for a sample of NYSE stocks. The results show that the adverse selection component of the spread estimated from specialist quotes is significantly smaller than the corresponding figures from limit-order quotes and entire quotes. We interpret this as evidence that New York Stock Exchange specialists transfer at least a part of adverse selection costs to outsiders through the discretionary use of limit orders. Our results show that the estimation/ interpretation of the components of the spread using quote data that include both specialist and limit-order interests is problematic.

 

Keywords: limit order, bid-ask spread, NYSE specialists, spread components

 

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To Trade or Not to Trade: The Effect of Broker Search and Discretionary Trading on Securities Market Performance

  Wei Zhang, Jinliang Li, and Chunchi Wu

 

 

In this paper we examine the interaction of brokerage search with the Bayesian learning behavior of competitive dealers under asymmetric information.  We particularly focus on the effects of price search and discretionary trading on the performance of a dealer market.  A search process is incorporated into a model in which brokers determine their reservation price and whether to continue their trades. The model enables us to uncover the interrelationships among search cost, bid-ask spread, and price volatility.  We show that both spread revision and price volatility are dependent upon the optimal search process, inventory fluctuation, and search cost.  Furthermore, our model predicts a negative relationship between price volatility and liquidity trading volume.

 

Keywords: search, price dispersion, trading costs

 

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Orange County Bankruptcy: Financial Contagion in the Municipal Bond and Bank Equity Markets

  John M. Halstead, Shantaram Hegde, and Linda Schmid Klein

 

 

We examine the spillover wealth effects of the Orange County, California bankruptcy announcement in December 1994 on municipal bonds, municipal bond funds, and bank stocks. This bankruptcy is prominent because of unprecedented losses and because it was caused by a highly leveraged derivatives strategy rather than a shortage of tax revenues and excess spending. We find contagion in the bond market with significantly negative abnormal returns for municipal bond funds without direct exposure to Orange County and for non-Orange County municipal bonds. In addition, our findings suggest the contagion spills over to the common stocks of investment and commercial banks that deal in or use derivatives; however, the equities of banks unexposed to derivatives are not affected.

 

Keywords: municipal financing, contagion, derivatives, fixed income, bank equity

 

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Who Benefits from Deregulating the Separation of Banking Activities? Differential Effects on Commercial Bank, Investment Bank, and Thrift Stock Returns

  Kathy Czyrnik and Linda Schmid Klein

 

 

We analyze the deregulation impact on commercial banks, investment banks, and thrifts associated with four major events progressively integrating commercial and investment banking activities in the United States during the 1990s. We find that commercial banks are the only group to react favorably to Federal Reserve announcements relaxing firewalls and easing restrictions on commercial bank revenues from investment banking activities. These regulations primarily benefit large banks. The Bankers Trust acquisition announcement of investment bank Alex Brown is associated with increased wealth for each of the three types of financial service institutions. At the eventual deregulation of the financial services industry, with the passage of the Financial Services Modernization Act in 1999, the values of commercial banks and investment banks increase significantly although thrifts are not affected.

 

Keywords: banking, deregulation, wealth effects, Glass-Steagall, financial modernization, Gramm-Leach-Bililey Act, event study

 

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