Abstracts of Volume 39, Number 3, August 2004

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The Puzzling Increase in the Underpricing of Seasoned Equity Offerings

  Kenneth A. Kim and Hyun-Han Shin

 

Mixed Messages: Open-Market Repurchases Following Stock Acquisitions

  Jann C. Howell and Janet D. Payne

 

Equity Ownership and Firm Value: Evidence from Targeted Stock Repurchases

  Saeyoung Chang and Michael Hertzel

 

Informed Trading Around Earnings Announcements: Another Look

  Dennis J. Whalen and Charles D. Collver

 

Pricing Efficiency in a Thin Market with Competitive Market Makers: Box Spread Strategies in the Hang Seng Index Options Market

  Joseph K. W. Fung, Henry M. K. Mok and Kenneth C. K. Wong

 

The Effect of Demand on Stock Prices: Evidence from Index Fund Rebalancing

  Ernest N. Biktimirov

 

An International Investigation of the Factors that Determine Conditional Gold Betas

  Robert Faff and David Hillier

 


 

The Puzzling Increase in the Underpricing of Seasoned Equity Offerings

  Kenneth A. Kim and Hyun-Han Shin

Using a sample of over 3,000 seasoned equity offerings (SEOs) from 1983 to 1998, we test the hypothesis that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s Rule 10b-21, which disallows the covering of short positions with newly issued SEOs, makes pre-offer stock prices less informative, which, in turn, causes the new seasoned equity to be priced at discounts. Consistent with this hypothesis, we find that the year the rule went into effect coincides with the year from which we begin observing significant SEO discounts. Further, we also find that ex ante uncertainty and SEO discounts are positively related. We also conduct tests specifically related to short selling, and we also consider an exhaustive set of alternative explanations for the discounts. Based on all of the evidence, we conclude that it is the rule that makes issue discounts larger in the 1990s.

 

Keywords: seasoned equity offerings, underpricing, Rule10b-21, short sale

 

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Mixed Messages: Open-Market Repurchases Following Stock Acquisitions

  Jann C. Howell and Janet D. Payne

Management decisions and market reactions to those decisions do not occur in isolation. Despite this fact, little or no research has examined two events when they occur in a sequence, even when theory suggests that those two events convey opposite signals. We examine firms that do a stock-based acquisition then announce an open-market repurchase program. These two actions, according to signaling theory, signal conflicting valuation errors. This paper is the first to examine a sequence of events that convey seemingly conflicting signals. Among other results, we find that repurchasers who had previously made a stock-based acquisition have a less positive market reaction than do otherwise comparable repurchasers with no previous acquisition. These results indicate that the market reactions to events are tempered by previous information-releasing events.

 

Keywords: repurchases, acquisitions, managerial decision making

 

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Equity Ownership and Firm Value: Evidence from Targeted Stock Repurchases

  Saeyoung Chang and Michael Hertzel

In contrast to the negative average abnormal return associated with the announcement of a control-related targeted repurchase (greenmail transaction), we find that the announcement of a non-control-related targeted repurchase is associated with a positive and significant average abnormal return. Cross-sectional analysis indicates that the change in firm value at the announcement of a non-control-related targeted repurchase is negatively related to the resulting changes in both insider ownership and outside blockholdings. We also find significant differences in announcement-period stock price effects depending on the identity of the selling shareholder.

 

Keywords: targeted stock repurchases, managerial entrenchment, insider holdings, event study

 

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Informed Trading Around Earnings Announcements: Another Look

  Dennis J. Whalen and Charles D. Collver

This study is an empirical test of the Easley, O’Hara, and Srinivas (1998) multimarket sequential trade model of stock and option markets. We employ two approaches to determine the information content of signed stock and option trades executed around quarterly earnings announcements. The first approach expands the vector autoregression (VAR) technique of Hasbrouck (1991a) to include signed option trade volumes and inter-trade durations. Estimates from the VAR models provide insight into whether both equity and option trades are viewed as informative by the equity specialist. The second approach focuses on the information content of the earnings releases to determine whether signed equity and option trades executed prior to the announcements are informed. Results indicate that although informed traders prefer to transact in both markets around earnings announcements, option market transactions contain no incremental information.

 

Keywords: vector autoregression, lead-lag, informed trading, earnings announcements

 

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Pricing Efficiency in a Thin Market with Competitive Market Makers: Box Spread Strategies in the Hang Seng Index Options Market

  Joseph K. W. Fung, Henry M. K. Mok and Kenneth C. K. Wong

Using a box spread arbitrage strategy, we examine the pricing efficiency of the emerging, thinly traded Hang Seng Index options market in Hong Kong, where market makers operate under a competitive open outcry system. In 20 months of tick-by-tick bid/ask quotes we find very few arbitrage opportunities. Our examination of the reporting time of quotes shows that in effect, all the apparent mispricings are deceptive and could be explained by stale quotes. The absence of real arbitrage opportunities supports the pricing rationality hypothesis in the Hong Kong options market.

 

Keywords: box spread; price rationality; thin market; market makers; bid-ask quotes, limits to arbitrage

 

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The Effect of Demand on Stock Prices: Evidence from Index Fund Rebalancing

  Ernest N. Biktimirov

I examine the effect of demand on stock prices by analyzing the conversion of the TIPs 35 and TIPs 100 exchange-traded funds into the i60 Fund. This conversion occurred at the Toronto Stock Exchange on March 6, 2000. Forty stocks of the TIPs 100 Fund that were not members of the new units of the i60 Fund were sold to complete this conversion. I find that a decrease in demand produced a permanent stock price decline, which was accompanied by significant abnormal trading volume. The results provide support for the downward-sloping demand curve hypothesis.

 

Keywords: stock prices, trading volume, event study, stock indexing, mutual funds

 

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An International Investigation of the Factors that Determine Conditional Gold Betas

  Robert Faff and David Hillier

We investigate the unconditional and conditional gold betas of four country-based gold industry portfolios. First, we document the similarity of unconditional gold betas across countries. Second, we find that the factors affecting conditional gold betas are different in the Australian/South African gold sectors relative to their North American counterparts. Only the gold bullion return volatility shows a negative association with conditional gold betas in Australian and South African gold mining firms. Moreover, gold price does not appear to play a systematic role in determining Australian or South African conditional gold betas. We discuss possible explanations for these findings.

 

 

Keywords: Stock Price Exposures, Gold Beta, International Evidence

 

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